: SP cuts FY23 India growth forecast to 7.3% #FinanceIndia #StockMarketNEWS #Business New Delhi: S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday cut India’s growth projection for the current fiscal to 7.3% from
@StockMarketNEWS Mon 23 May, 2022
SP cuts FY23 India growth forecast to 7.3% #FinanceIndia #StockMarketNEWS #Business
New Delhi: S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday cut India’s growth projection for the current fiscal to 7.3% from 7.8% earlier on rising inflation and the longer-than-expected Russia-Ukraine conflict.
In its Global Macro Update to Growth Forecasts, S&P said inflation remaining higher for long is a worry, which requires central banks to raise rates more than what is currently priced in, risking a harder landing, including a larger hit to output and employment.
S&P had in December last year pegged India’s GDP growth in the 2022-23 fiscal, which began on April 1, 2022, at 7.8 per cent.
The growth projection has been cut to 7.3% for the current fiscal. For the next fiscal the growth has been pegged at 6.5%.
“The risks to our forecasts have picked up since our last forecast round and remain firmly on the downside. The Russia-Ukraine conflict is more likely to drag on and escalate than end earlier and deescalate, in our view, pushing the risks to the downside,??? S&P said.
Indian economy is estimated to have clocked a GDP growth of 8.9% in the last fiscal (2021-22). S&P pegged CPI or retail inflation in the current fiscal at 6.9%.
In the aftermath of the Russia-Ukraine war and rising commodity prices, various global agencies have cut India’s growth forecast recently.
The World Bank in April slashed India’s GDP forecast for fiscal 2022-23 to 8% from 8.7% predicted earlier, while IMF has cut the projections to 8.2% from 9%.
Asian Development Bank (ADB) has projected India’s growth at 7.5%, while the RBI, last month, cut its forecast to 7.2% from 7.8% amid volatile crude oil prices and supply chain disruptions due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.
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